Chance Gates' Blog

The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally adjusted composite index of mortgage applications for the week ending August 5 rose 21.7%. Refinancing applications increased 30.4%. Purchase volume fell 0.9%.

Wholesalers increased their inventories 0.6% to $458.7 billion in June. This followed a revised 1.7% rise in May. Sales at the wholesale level rose 0.6% in June to $395.8 billion. On a year-over-year basis, sales were 15.4% higher since June 2010.

The trade deficit increased to $53.1 billion in June from a revised $50.8 billion in May. Exports fell 2.3% to $170.9 billion. Imports decreased 0.8% to $223.9 billion.

Retail sales rose 0.5% to $390.42 billion in July after an upwardly revised 0.3% increase in June. The gain posted in July was the largest in four months. On a year-over-year basis, retail sales rose 8.5%.

Total business inventories rose 0.3% in June to $1.518 trillion, up 11.1% from a year ago. Total business sales increased 0.4% to $1.187 trillion in June, up 12.4% from a year ago. The total business inventories/sales ratio in June was 1.28.

The Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for August’s preliminary reading fell to 54.9 from 63.7 in July. The reading was the lowest in more than 30 years, surpassing a record low of 55.3 set in November 2008.

Initial claims for unemployment benefits fell by 7,000 to 395,000 for the week ending August 6. Continuing claims for the week ending July 30 fell by 60,000 to 3.7 million.

Upcoming on the economic calendar are reports on the housing market index on August 15, housing starts on August 16 and existing home sales on August 18.

Mark your favorite properties and get instant updates price changes,  new pictures and status changes.

As a Reno/Sparks real estate professional, I encourage all questions and comments on the Reno/Sparks real estate market or any of the articles posted in this blog. Please feel free to use my back door to the MLS and search the houses available in the Reno/Sparks and most Northwest Nevada neighborhoods. I can be reached by email @ chance@ballard-company.comhttp://www.myspace.com/chancegates .  You can also follow me at http://www.twitter.com/chancegates .  If you are behind on your house payment and looking for a loan modification, go to making homes affordable For a free copy of my report   “5 Steps For Reno/Sparks Homeowners To Prevent Foreclosures” go to my about page http://chancegates.com/about and ask for more information on preventing foreclosures. or   to request a modification.  If the modification fails, contact your local real estate professional to help short sale your home.  To make sure there is no deficiency judgment a homeowner might find it necessary to hire an attorney.

April 29, 2011 by Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist & Senior Vice President, Research · 2

www.realtor.org

The U.S. dollar has been weakening for the past two years and the depreciation could continue for the remainder of the year.  The dollar is weaker not only against the major foreign currencies of the Euro, Pound, and the Yen, but also against the Russian Ruble, Polish Zloty, South Korean Won, Thai Baht, South African Rand, Brazilian Real, and Mexican Peso.

Why?  One key reason is just an unwinding of the strength of the dollar that grew during the 2008/09 financial crisis.  Global financial panic always forces the dollar up as investors search for a safe, reliable haven.  Now with the financial market recovering quite strongly, the ‘panic’ impact on the dollar is no longer in play.  Another reason for the decline in the dollar is a result of the falling confidence that global investors are placing in the U.S. economy.  If you had cash to invest, where would you invest – in a country with strong growth prospects or in a country that could be losing competiveness with the rest of the world?

A final important reason for the dollar decline is that the U.S. has been running up a sizeable trade deficit for quite some time.  Americans buy far more imported foreign products in relation to exporting U.S.-made products abroad.  To help rebalance this persistent trade deficit, the weakening U.S. dollar – in theory – is supposed to help Americans buy fewer foreign products and help sell more American products abroad.  John Deere, as an example, has better prospects to sell tractors to Brazil.  Also, many Americans may reconsider traveling abroad since the dollar doesn’t go as far in other countries (such as forking over $10 for a Big Mac meal in Rome, for instance, with ketchup costing extra).

However, the weakening dollar could actually worsen the trade deficit if Americans keep buying foreign products, but now at a higher price.  Imported oil is one example where Americans are buying out of necessity even at higher prices.

Whichever way one’s take on the desirability or undesirability of the falling dollar goes, one thing is clear as related to the dollar’s impact on real estate.  Right now U.S. real estate is cheap, from the perspective of a foreign buyer, which may mean more international purchases this year.

Logging in allows you to save your favorite properties and get instant updates price changes,  new pictures and open houses on the property.

As a Reno/Sparks real estate professional, I encourage all questions and comments on the Reno/Sparks real estate market or any of the articles posted in this blog. Please feel free to use my back door to the MLS and search the houses available in the Reno/Sparks and most Northwest Nevada neighborhoods. I can be reached by email @ chance@ballard-company.comhttp://www.myspace.com/chancegates .  You can also follow me at http://www.twitter.com/chancegates .  If you are behind on your house payment and looking for a loan modification, go to making homes affordable For a free copy of my report   “5 Steps For Reno/Sparks Homeowners To Prevent Foreclosures” go to my about page http://chancegates.com/about and ask for more information on preventing foreclosures. or   to request a modification.  If the modification fails, contact your local real estate professional to help short sale your home.  To make sure there is no deficiency judgment a homeowner might find it necessary to hire an attorney.

http://www.realtor.org/rmodaily.nsf/f3c66d0c6457c1e1862570af000cb13b/8929c93ef2c9a10b862578710052da32?OpenDocument

Do your clients aspire to live mortgage free? Here are a few ways they can pay off their mortgage early, according to a recent article at Bankrate.com.

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Add a little payment to principal. Use mortgage calculators to see how adding a little extra payment to your principal–even $100–can shorten the length of your loan and reduce the amount of interest you’ll pay on it. Tracy Piercy, CEO of MoneyMinding.com, says home owners can just round their monthly payments up (e.g. $644 to $650) to find savings too–just an extra $6 per month on a $200,000, 30-year loan can save you four payments at the end of your mortgage loan.

Refinance. Interest rates are low and you can often can get an even better rate if you refinance into a shorter loan term. For example, 15-year loans are a popular refinancing choice. You’ll have higher payments, but you’ll be paying less overall interest. Or if you don’t want to commit to the higher payments, take out a 30-year loan but make payments as if you had a 10- or 15-year loan, experts recommend.

Make biweekly payments. Pay half your regular mortgage payment every other week instead of once a month. By doing so, you’ll have made 13 full monthly payments by the end of the year and on a 30-year mortgage, that extra payment can chop about six years off your mortgage.

Source: “4 ways to pay off your mortgage earlier,” Bankrate.com (April 2011)

Logging in allows you to save your favorite properties and get instant updates price changes,  new pictures and open houses on the property.

As a Reno/Sparks real estate professional, I encourage all questions and comments on the Reno/Sparks real estate market or any of the articles posted in this blog. Please feel free to use my back door to the MLS and search the houses available in the Reno/Sparks and most Northwest Nevada neighborhoods. I can be reached by email @ chance@ballard-company.comhttp://www.myspace.com/chancegates .  You can also follow me at http://www.twitter.com/chancegates .  If you are behind on your house payment and looking for a loan modification, go to making homes affordable For a free copy of my report   “5 Steps For Reno/Sparks Homeowners To Prevent Foreclosures” go to my about page http://chancegates.com/about and ask for more information on preventing foreclosures. or   to request a modification.  If the modification fails, contact your local real estate professional to help short sale your home.  To make sure there is no deficiency judgment a homeowner might find it necessary to hire an attorney.

With affordability at an all-time high, the number of investors and international buyers taking advantage of bargains has reached a record number in all-cash purchases — and some experts predict that number will only grow higher.

A record 33 percent of existing-home sales were made to cash buyers in February, the National Association of REALTORS® recently reported. The proportion of cash deals could hit 40 percent by the end of this year, predicts Thomas Popik, research director for Campbell Communications in Washington, which conducts monthly surveys of 3,000 real estate brokers.

“Lenders have only been willing to lend to the cream of the crop in terms of credit scores,” says Walter Molony, an NAR spokesman. “As a result, you’re seeing a depressed level of traditional buyers.”

But it’s not just investors moving in: Many of these cash deals are also coming from a growing number of international buyers. About 55 percent of international buyers paid cash for their U.S. homes, according to an April 2010 report by NAR.

The Cash Buyer Advantage?
Cities where about half of all purchases were done with cash include Detroit, Miami, Las Vegas, and Phoenix, in which prices have dropped considerably and foreclosure rates remain high, says Oliver Chang, a housing market analyst with Morgan Stanley.

Short sales and foreclosures accounted for 59 percent of last year’s cash sales, according to a report by Morgan Stanley.

“You buy the house at a discount with cash. Then you flip it almost immediately to the first-time home buyer who’s using a mortgage, simply because they were not able to buy at the foreclosure sale,” Chang says.

Lenders increasingly reject mortgage applications for foreclosed properties because appraisals are often too far below the agreed-upon price or the transactions take too long to close, says Popik.

With tightened lending standards, cash purchases can provide buyers with more leverage and allow buyers to close properties more quickly.

Mike Simmons Troy, a Detroit real estate investor, says that if a house is listed at $40,000 and a buyer offers $35,000 cash, “nine times out of 10, the bank will take the cash.”

Source: “Cashing in on Bargains,” Detroit Free Press (April 10, 2011)

Logging in allows you to save your favorite properties and get instant updates price changes,  new pictures and open houses on the property.

As a Reno/Sparks real estate professional, I encourage all questions and comments on the Reno/Sparks real estate market or any of the articles posted in this blog. Please feel free to use my back door to the MLS and search the houses available in the Reno/Sparks and most Northwest Nevada neighborhoods. I can be reached by email @ chance@ballard-company.comhttp://www.myspace.com/chancegates .  You can also follow me at http://www.twitter.com/chancegates .  If you are behind on your house payment and looking for a loan modification, go to making homes affordable For a free copy of my report   “5 Steps For Reno/Sparks Homeowners To Prevent Foreclosures” go to my about page http://chancegates.com/about and ask for more information on preventing foreclosures. or   to request a modification.  If the modification fails, contact your local real estate professional to help short sale your home.  To make sure there is no deficiency judgment a homeowner might find it necessary to hire an attorney.

Daily Real Estate News  | March 4, 2011  |
For the third straight week, long-term mortgage rates inched down, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly mortgage survey.

The 30-year fixed rate mortgage averaged 4.87 percent for the week, down from last week’s 4.95 percent. The rate was 4.97 percent at this time last year.

The 15-year mortgage rate also dipped for the week, averaging 4.15 percent, down from last week’s 4.22 percent.

The 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 3.72 percent, which is a drop from last week’s 3.8 percent average.

“Mortgage rates saw an overall improvement this week,” says Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “Interest rates for 30-year fixed mortgages were almost 0.2 percentage points below this year’s high set just three weeks ago.” This means that home buyers can now expect to pay $263 less per year on a $200,000 loan, Nothaft adds.

As a Reno/Sparks real estate professional, I encourage all questions and comments on the Reno/Sparks real estate market or any of the articles posted in this blog. Please feel free to use my back door to the MLS and search the houses available in the Reno/Sparks and most Northwest Nevada neighborhoods. I can be reached by email @ chance@ballard-company.comhttp://www.myspace.com/chancegates .  You can also follow me at http://www.twitter.com/chancegates .  If you are behind on your house payment and looking for a loan modification, go to making homes affordable For a free copy of my report   “5 Steps For Reno/Sparks Homeowners To Prevent Foreclosures” go to my about page http://chancegates.com/about and ask for more information on preventing foreclosures. or   to request a modification.  If the modification fails, contact your local real estate professional to help short sale your home.  To make sure there is no deficiency judgment a homeowner might find it necessary to hire an attorney.

Source: “30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage Drops for Third Consecutive Week,” Freddie Mac (March 3, 2011)

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Is now a good time to buy a foreclosure?

This is a very common question from both real estate professionals and prospective buyers. Obviously, because local market conditions vary, the answer is different from market to market. But there are questions that buyers in any market should be asking before they make an offer on a property in foreclosure.

What’s the first step buyers need to take?

Require buyers you work with to be preapproved for a loan before you help them shop for a foreclosure. If they’re thinking of buying a foreclosure as an investment or second home, they need to understand that financing the home will be more difficult and more expensive than financing a primary residence. Lenders typically charge higher interest rates and require a larger down payment for investment or second homes.

How can you tell a bad foreclosure from a good one?

Certainly there are great deals in many markets for both investors and buyers looking for a primary residence. But making a sound deal can be tricky. Buyers need to be wary of unpaid liens, including mortgage debt, taxes, construction loans, home equity lines of credit, and possibly a second or third mortgage. Any or all of these financial obligations could become your clients’ responsibility when they purchase a property in foreclosure. Unless the property goes through a foreclosure auction and becomes a bank-owned REO, the outstanding foreclosure liens and fees could be simply transferred to the new owner—your clients. Don’t let them fall into the same financial trap as the previous owner.

If I’m a qualifying borrower, can I appeal to banks for better loan terms?

Lenders are drowning in defaults—particularly in hard-hit real estate markets such as Arizona, California, Florida, Michigan, Nevada, and Ohio—so they may be motivated to cut a deal. If your clients have a good credit score, many banks will offer them a below-market-rate loan on a bank-owned home. Unlike paying down with points, this doesn’t cost anything in fees, and it gives them the ability to spend more for the home.

What are the costs of buying a foreclosure?

It takes money to make money. The best opportunities are for buyers with cash. If your clients are planning to rent out the property or even resell it for a quick profit, make sure they consider the carrying costs, including sales commissions, marketing costs, vacancies, taxes, insurance, and maintenance costs. Once you’ve calculated all the expenses, add on another 10 percent to 15 percent. If they don’t build in a “surprise fund,” your clients might be the next foreclosure statistic.

How does choice of neighborhood affect foreclosure investments?

Clients looking for a good investment should generally avoid neighborhoods overrun with foreclosures, particularly newer subdivisions in overbuilt exurban areas. Investors will be tempted to buy foreclosures in these areas because they offer the steepest discounts—but they also carry the most risk of further depreciation. Look in well established neighborhoods with good schools and transportation. If you’re in a market where prices are still falling, encourage your clients to factor falling prices into any offer they submit on a foreclosed property.

Logging in allows you to save your favorite properties and get instant updates price changes,  new pictures and open houses on the property.

As a Reno/Sparks real estate professional, I encourage all questions and comments on the Reno/Sparks real estate market or any of the articles posted in this blog. Please feel free to use my back door to the MLS and search the houses available in the Reno/Sparks and most Northwest Nevada neighborhoods. I can be reached by email @ chance@ballard-company.comhttp://www.myspace.com/chancegates .  You can also follow me at http://www.twitter.com/chancegates .  If you are behind on your house payment and looking for a loan modification, go to making homes affordable For a free copy of my report   “5 Steps For Reno/Sparks Homeowners To Prevent Foreclosures” go to my about page http://chancegates.com/about and ask for more information on preventing foreclosures. or   to request a modification.  If the modification fails, contact your local real estate professional to help short sale your home.  To make sure there is no deficiency judgment a homeowner might find it necessary to hire an attorney.

Three out of four home owners — or 78 percent — say their homes are the best investment they ever made, according to Trulia.com’s biannual American Dream survey, which has tracked attitudes toward home ownership since 2009.

Despite foreclosures and underwater homes continuing to batter the real estate market, about 70 percent of Americans say they still view home ownership as being part of their American Dream, according to the survey.

“Contrary to popular belief, the American Dream of homeownership has not turned into an American nightmare,” says Pete Flint, CEO of Trulia.

The millennial generation is expected to drive the housing recovery. Eighty-eight percent of 18-34 year old renters say they want to be home owners one day, according to the survey.

“Millennials are now today’s most serious home buyers,” says Tara-Nicholle Nelson, consumer educator for Trulia. “Unjaded and largely untouched by the effects of the housing crash, this new generation of buyers will no doubt lead America from its current housing slump towards true recovery.”

The survey also showed that in some of the country’s hardest-hit regions of foreclosures and underwater homes, buyers are not being deterred by the sour market. In particular, in Southern and Western regions of the United States, 79 percent and 70 percent of renters say they plan to purchase a home.

Source: “Trulia Survey: 70 Percent of Americans View Homeownership as Part of Personal American Dream,” Trulia.com (Feb. 9, 2011)

As a Reno/Sparks real estate professional, I encourage all questions and comments on the Reno/Sparks real estate market or any of the articles posted in this blog. Please feel free to use my back door to the MLS and search the houses available in the Reno/Sparks and most Northwest Nevada neighborhoods. I can be reached by email @ chance@ballard-company.comhttp://www.myspace.com/chancegates .  You can also follow me at http://www.twitter.com/chancegates .  If you are behind on your house payment and looking for a loan modification, go to making homes affordable For a free copy of my report   “5 Steps For Reno/Sparks Homeowners To Prevent Foreclosures” go to my about page http://chancegates.com/about and ask for more information on preventing foreclosures. or   to request a modification.  If the modification fails, contact your local real estate professional to help short sale your home.  To make sure there is no deficiency judgment a homeowner might find it necessary to hire an attorney.

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While renting offers zero tax breaks, buying a home offers several tax benefits that can make homeownership more affordable. Real estate professionals need to be careful in providing detailed tax advice to clients to avoid lawsuits, but you can ensure clients have the information they need to understand the all of the tax benefits of home ownership.

The following is a few of the tax benefits to home ownership, according to Stephen Fishman, an author and lawyer who specializes in small business, tax and intellectual property law.

▪ Home mortgage interest deduction: Home owners can take an itemized deduction on interest paid on a mortgage or mortgages of up to $1 million for a principal residence and/or second home. This deduction could potentially reduce the cost of borrowing by one-third or more.
▪ Property tax deduction: Home owners can deduct from their federal income taxes the state and local property taxes that you pay on the home.
▪ Deductible home buying expenses: Several closing costs in a home purchase are also deductible, such as loan origination fees (points), prorated interest on a new loan, and prorated property taxes paid at settlement.
▪ $250,000/$500,000 home-sale exclusion: Home owners who have lived in their home for two of the prior five years prior to its sale do not have to pay income tax on the majority of their profit — $250,000 for single home owners and $500,000 for married homeowners who file jointly.
▪ 14 days of free rental income: Home owners can rent the home up to 14 days during the year and pay no tax at all on the rental income.

Source: “The Tax Benefits of Homeownership,” Inman News (Feb. 4, 2011) (log in required)

As a Reno/Sparks real estate professional, I encourage all questions and comments on the Reno/Sparks real estate market or any of the articles posted in this blog. Please feel free to use my back door to the MLS and search the houses available in the Reno/Sparks and most Northwest Nevada neighborhoods. I can be reached by email @ chance@ballard-company.comhttp://www.myspace.com/chancegates . You can also follow me at http://www.twitter.com/chancegates . If you are behind on your house payment and looking for a loan modification, go to making homes affordable For a free copy of my blog titled “5 Steps For Reno/Sparks Homeowners To Prevent Foreclosures” go to my about page http://chancegates.com/about and ask for more information on preventing foreclosures. or to request a modification. If the modification fails, contact your local real estate professional to help short sale your home. To make sure there is no deficiency judgment a homeowner might find it necessary to hire an attorney.

1.New Home Sales by Price Range

,$250K = 34%, 250-300K = 17%, >350K = 6%

2. Top New Home Sales by Area

South Suburban, West Reno, North Valley

3# of Active Communities: 30

4. New Home Unsold Inventory: 99

5. Top 5 Builders: Lennar, KB Home, DR Horton, Pulte, Ryder Homes

6. Finished Lot Supply: 3,407 Homesites

2011 Predictions: Demand will pick up slighly, Land Prices have stabilized at pre 1997 numbers. New Communities will appear this year. Standing inventories will remain low as speculative construction is limited.

Thanks to Builders magazine for this information.

As a Reno/Sparks real estate professional, I encourage all questions and comments on the Reno/Sparks real estate market or any of the articles posted in this blog. Please feel free to use my back door to the MLS and search the houses available in the Reno/Sparks and most Northwest Nevada neighborhoods. I can be reached by email @ chance@ballard-company.com or  http://www.myspace.com/chancegates .  You can also follow me at http://www.twitter.com/chancegates .  If you are behind on your house payment and looking for a loan modification, go to making homes affordable to request a modification.  If the modification fails, contact your local real estate professional to help short sale your home.  To make sure there is no deficiency judgment a homeowner might find it necessary to hire an attorney. For a free copy of my blog titled  “5 Steps For Reno/Sparks Homeowners To Prevent Foreclosures” go to my about page http://chancegates.com/about and ask for more information on preventing foreclosures.

1.Active Inventory at 2200 range

2. Market Absorption = 6 months supply

We are absorbing our inventory in spite of our unemployment numbers

3. # of Active Communities: 30

4. Market Absorption in Million Dollar Homes = 35 months

5. Percentage of new listings that are distressed: 75% in Dec 2010

6. Two Thirds of Our Sellers Do Not Turn into Buyers. One third of sales are REO/BankOwned. One Third are Short Sales. Society is becoming less mobile

Real Estate is still a GOOD investment

Thanks to Builders magazine for this information

As a Reno/Sparks real estate professional, I encourage all questions and comments on the Reno/Sparks real estate market or any of the articles posted in this blog. Please feel free to use my back door to the MLS and search the houses available in the Reno/Sparks and most Northwest Nevada neighborhoods. I can be reached by email @ chance@ballard-company.comhttp://www.myspace.com/chancegates .  You can also follow me at http://www.twitter.com/chancegates .  If you are behind on your house payment and looking for a loan modification, go to making homes affordable For a free copy of my blog titled  “5 Steps For Reno/Sparks Homeowners To Prevent Foreclosures” go to my about page http://chancegates.com/about and ask for more information on preventing foreclosures. or   to request a modification.  If the modification fails, contact your local real estate professional to help short sale your home.  To make sure there is no deficiency judgment a homeowner might find it necessary to hire an attorney.